Error Statistics Philosophy
Summer Seminar in Phil Stat 2019
The Statistics Wars and Their Casualties Videos & Slides from Sessions 1 & 2
Below are the videos and slides from the 6 talks from Session 1 and Session 2 of our workshop The Statistics Wars and Their Casualties held on September 22 & 23, 2022. Session 1 speakers were: Deborah Mayo (Virginia Tech), Richard Morey (Cardiff University), Stephen Senn (Edinburgh, Scotland). Session 2 speakers were: Daniël Lakens (Eindhoven University of Technology), Christian Hennig (University of Bologna), Yoav Benjamini (Tel Aviv University). Abstracts can be found here and the schedule here. Some participant related publications are on this page.
The final 2 sessions of our online workshop (Sessions 3 and 4) will be held on Thursdays, Dec 1 and Dec 8, 2022 from 1500-1815 (London time) and 10am-1:15pm (New York City time).
SESSION 1
Brief Intro to Session 1 by David Hand (Imperial College)
Deborah Mayo (Virginia Tech):
The Statistics Wars and Their Casualties
Richard Morey (Cardiff University)
Bayes factors, p values, and the replication crisis
Slide show is posted on his webpage here.
Stephen Senn (Edinburgh)
The replication crisis: are P-values the problem and are Bayes factors the solution?
Session 1 Discussion
SESSION 2
[Brief Intro to Session 2 by Stephen Senn (Edinburgh)]
Daniël Lakens (Eindhoven University of Technology)
The role of background assumptions in severity appraisal
Christian Hennig (University of Bologna)
On the interpretation of the mathematical characteristics of statistical tests
Yoav Benjamini (Tel Aviv University)
The two statistical cornerstones of replicability: addressing selective inference and irrelevant variability
Session 2 Discussion
The (Vaccine) Booster Wars: A prepost
[We are experimenting with Twitter threads.]
We’re always reading about how the pandemic has created a new emphasis on preprints, so it stands to reason that non-reviewed preposts would now have a place in blogs. Maybe then I’ll “publish” some of the half-baked posts languishing on draft in errorstatistics.com. I’ll update or replace this prepost after reviewing.
The Booster wars
June 24: “Have Covid-19 lockdowns led to an increase in domestic violence? Drawing inferences from police administrative data” (Katrin Hohl)
The tenth meeting of our Phil Stat Forum*:
The Statistics Wars
and Their Casualties
24 June 2021
TIME: 15:00-16:45 (London); 10:00-11:45 (New York, EST)
For information about the Phil Stat Wars forum and how to join, click on this link.
“Have Covid-19 lockdowns led to an increase in domestic violence? Drawing inferences from police administrative data”
Katrin Hohl (more…)
May 20: “Objective Bayesianism from a philosophical perspective” (Jon Williamson)
The ninth meeting of our Phil Stat Forum*:
The Statistics Wars
and Their Casualties
20 May 2021
TIME: 15:00-16:45 (London); 10:00-11:45 (New York, EST)
For information about the Phil Stat Wars forum and how to join, click on this link.
“Objective Bayesianism from a philosophical perspective”
Jon Williamson (more…)
April 22 “How an information metric could bring truce to the statistics wars” (Daniele Fanelli)
The eighth meeting of our Phil Stat Forum*:
The Statistics Wars
and Their Casualties
22 April 2021
TIME: 15:00-16:45 (London); 10:00-11:45 (New York, EST)
For information about the Phil Stat Wars forum and how to join, click on this link.
“How an information metric could bring truce to the statistics wars“
Daniele Fanelli (more…)
February 18 “Testing with models that are not true” (Christian Hennig)
The sixth meeting of our Phil Stat Forum*:
The Statistics Wars
and Their Casualties
18 February, 2021
TIME: 15:00-16:45 (London); 10-11:45 a.m. (New York, EST)
For information about the Phil Stat Wars forum and how to join, click on this link.
.
“Testing with Models that Are Not True“
Christian Hennig
January 7: “Putting the Brakes on the Breakthrough: On the Birnbaum Argument for the Strong Likelihood Principle” (D.Mayo)
The fourth meeting of our New Phil Stat Forum*:
The Statistics Wars and Their Casualties
January 7, 16:00 – 17:30 (London time) 11 am-12:30 pm (New York, ET)** **note time modification and date change
Putting the Brakes on the Breakthrough,
or “How I used simple logic to uncover a flaw in a controversial 60-year old ‘theorem’ in statistical foundations”
Deborah G. Mayo
.
November 19: “Randomisation and control in the age of coronavirus?” (Stephen Senn)
The third meeting of our New Phil Stat Forum*:
The Statistics Wars
and Their Casualties
November 19: 15:00 – 16:45 (London time)
10-11:45 am (New York, EST)
“Randomisation and Control in the Age of Coronavirus“
Stephen Senn
September 24: Bayes factors from all sides: who’s worried, who’s not, and why (R. Morey)
The second meeting of our New Phil Stat Forum*:
The Statistics Wars
and Their Casualties
September 24: 15:00 – 16:45 (London time)
10-11:45 am (New York, EDT)
“Bayes Factors from all sides:
who’s worried, who’s not, and why”
Richard Morey
. (more…)
Meeting 7 (July 30)–Discussion of JSM 2020 Panel on P-values & “Statistical Significance”
All: On July 30 (10am EST) I will give a virtual version of my JSM presentation, remotely like the one I will actually give on Aug 6 at the JSM. Co-panelist Stan Young may as well. One of our surprise guests tomorrow (not at the JSM) will be Yoav Benjamini! If you’re interested in attending our July 30 practice session* please follow the directions here. Background items for this session are in the “readings” and “memos” of session 5.
Members: Materials resulting from Meeting 7:
“Work of renowned UK psychologist Hans Eysenck ruled ‘unsafe’”, The Guardian (Oct 11, 2019) (LINK).
*unless you’re already on our LSE Phil500 list
JSM 2020 Panel Flyer (PDF)
JSM online program w/panel abstract & information):
Slides & Video Links for Meeting 7:
DRAFT OF Mayo JSM 2020 SLIDES (PDF)
FINAL Mayo JSM 2020 SLIDES (PDF)
PhilStatWars 
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