Month: December 2021

WORKSHOP

The Statistics Wars
and Their Casualties

22-23 September 2022
15:00-18:00 pm London Time*
ONLINE
(London School of Economics, CPNSS)

To register for the workshop,
please fill out the registration form here.

*These will be sessions 1 & 2, there will be two more
online sessions (3 & 4) on December 1 & 8.

While the field of statistics has a long history of passionate foundational controversy, the last decade has, in many ways, been the most dramatic. Misuses of statistics, biasing selection effects, and high-powered methods of big-data analysis, have helped to make it easy to find impressive-looking but spurious results that fail to replicate. As the crisis of replication has spread beyond psychology and social sciences to biomedicine, genomics, machine learning and other fields, the need for critical appraisal of proposed reforms is growing. Many are welcome (transparency about data, eschewing mechanical uses of statistics); some are quite radical. The experts do not agree on the best ways to promote trustworthy results, and these disagreements often reflect philosophical battles–old and new– about the nature of inductive-statistical inference and the roles of probability in statistical inference and modeling. Intermingled in the controversies about evidence are competing social, political, and economic values. If statistical consumers are unaware of assumptions behind rival evidence-policy reforms, they cannot scrutinize the consequences that affect them. What is at stake is a critical standpoint that we may increasingly be in danger of losing. Critically reflecting on proposed reforms and changing standards requires insights from statisticians, philosophers of science, psychologists, journal editors, economists and practitioners from across the natural and social sciences. This workshop will bring together these interdisciplinary insights–from speakers as well as attendees.

Speakers/Panellists:

Yoav Benjamini (Tel Aviv University), Alexander Bird (University of Cambridge), Mark Burgman (Imperial College London),  Daniele Fanelli (London School of Economics and Political Science), Roman Frigg (London School of Economics and Political Science), Stephan Guttinger (University of Exeter), David Hand (Imperial College London), Margherita Harris  (London School of Economics and Political Science), Christian Hennig (University of Bologna), Daniël Lakens (Eindhoven University of Technology), Deborah Mayo (Virginia Tech), Richard Morey (Cardiff University), Stephen Senn (Edinburgh, Scotland), Uri Simonsohn (Esade Ramon Llull University), Aris Spanos (Virginia Tech), Jon Williamson (University of Kent)

Sponsors/Affiliations:

The Foundation for the Study of Experimental Reasoning, Reliability, and the Objectivity and Rationality of Science (E.R.R.O.R.S.); Centre for Philosophy of Natural and Social Science (CPNSS), London School of Economics; Virginia Tech Department of Philosophy

Organizers: D. Mayo, R. Frigg and M. Harris
Logistician
(chief logistics and contact person): Jean Miller
Executive Planning Committee: Y. Benjamini, D. Hand, D. Lakens, S. Senn

To register for the workshop,
please fill out the registration form here. 

January 11: Phil Stat (Remote) Forum

Special Session of the (remote)
Phil Stat Forum:

11 January 2022

“Statistical Significance Test Anxiety”

TIME: 15:00-17:00 (London, GMT); 10:00-12:00 (EST)

Presenters: Deborah Mayo (Virginia Tech) &
Yoav Benjamini (Tel Aviv University)

Moderator: David Hand (Imperial College London)

Deborah Mayo       Yoav Benjamini        David Hand


Focus of the Session: 

Benjamini, et al. (2021), “The ASA President’s Task Force Statement on Statistical significance and Replicability” (Link to article)

Mayo, D. (2021), “The Statistics Wars and Intellectual Conflicts of Interest” (editorial). Conservation Biology. (Link to article)


Background articles and blogposts (on errorstatistics.com):

Benjamini, Y. (2020), “Selective Inference: The Silent Killer of Replicability”. Harvard Data Science Review.

Wasserstein R. & Lazar, N.(2016). “The ASA’s Statement on p-Values: Context, Process, and Purpose,” The American Statistician 70(2),129-133.

Wasserstein, R., Schirm, A,. & Lazar, N. (2019). “Moving to a world beyond “p < 0.05” (Editorial).The American Statistician 73(S1), 1–19.

For posts on this topic see this blog post.


Slides & video 

D. Mayo’s slides:  PDF: “The Statistics Wars and Intellectual Conflicts of Interest

SLIDE SHOW:

 

Y. Benjamini’s slides: PDF: “The ASA president Task Force Statement on Statistical Significance and Replicability

SLIDE SHOW:


 

Video of D. Mayo & Y. Benjamini Presentations with D. Hand as moderator:

For a full listing of meetings (including links to videos & slides), see our Phil Stat Forum Schedule page.