General Schedule PDF
Topic: Current Controversies in Phil Stat (LSE, Remote 15:00 – 17:00; Thursdays 21 May-18 June)
Main Text SIST: Statistical Inference as Severe Testing: How to Get Beyond the Statistics Wars CUP, 2018)*:
Slides for each meeting will be on individual meeting posts on this blog.
I. (May 21) Introduction: Controversies in Phil Stat:
SIST*: Preface, Excursion 1
II. (May 28) N-P and Fisherian Tests, Severe Testing:
Recommended: Excursion 2 Tour II pp. 92-100
Optional: I will (try to) answer questions on demarcation of science, induction, falsification, Popper from Excursion 2 Tour II
III. (June 4) Deeper Concepts: Confidence Intervals and Tests: Higgs’ Discovery:
SIST: Excursion 3 Tour III Optional: I will answer questions on Excursion 3 Tour II: Howlers and Chestnuts of Tests
IV. (June 11) Rejection Fallacies: Do P-values exaggerate evidence? Jeffreys-Lindley paradox or Bayes/Fisher disagreement:
SIST: Excursion 4 Tour II
-Benjamin, D., Berger, J., Johannesson, M., et al. (2017). Redefine Statistical Significance, Nature Human Behaviour, 2: 6-10.
-Lakens, D., et al. (2018). Justify Your Alpha, Nature Human Behaviour, 2: 168-71.
V. (June 18) The Statistics Wars and Their Casualties:
-Amrhein, V., Greenland, S., & McShane, B., (2019). Comment: Retire Statistical Significance, Nature, 567: 305-308.
-Ioannidis J. (2019). “The Importance of Predefined Rules and Prespecified Statistical Analyses: Do Not Abandon Significance.” JAMA. 321(21): 2067–2068. doi:10.1001/jama.2019.4582
-Ioannidis, J. (2019). Correspondence: Retiring statistical significance would give bias a free pass. Nature, 567, 461. https://doi.org/10.1038/d41586-019-00969-2
-Mayo, DG. (2019), P‐value thresholds: Forfeit at your peril. Eur J Clin Invest, 49: e13170. doi: 10.1111/eci.13170
Information Items for SIST
-References: Captain’s Bibliography
-Summaries of 16 Tours (abstracts & keywords)
–Excerpts & Mementos on Error Statistics Philosophy Blog (I will link to items from excerpted proofs for interested blog followers as we proceed)
-SEV apps: Richard Morey
DELAYED: JUNE 19-20 Workshop: The Statistics Wars and Their Casualties