V. (June 18) The Statistics Wars and Their Casualties


SIST: Excursion 4 Tour III: pp. 267-286; Farewell Keepsake pp. 436-444

-Amrhein, V., Greenland, S., & McShane, B., (2019). Comment: Retire Statistical Significance, Nature, 567: 305-308.

-Ioannidis J. (2019). “The Importance of Predefined Rules and Prespecified Statistical Analyses: Do Not Abandon Significance.” JAMA. 321(21): 2067–2068. doi:10.1001/jama.2019.4582

-Mayo, DG. (2019), P‐value thresholds: Forfeit at your peril. Eur J Clin Invest, 49: e13170. doi: 10.1111/eci.13170

Recommended (and fun) P-values on Trial: Selective Reporting of (Best Practice Guides Against) Selective Reporting

Mayo Memos for Meeting 5:

-Souvenirs Meeting 5: S: Preregistration and Error ProbabilitiesT: Even Big Data Calls for Theory and FalsificationZ: Understanding Tribal Warfare

Bonus meeting: 25 June: See General Schedule

-Selected blogposts on Significance Test Wars from March 2019:

  • March 25, 2019: “Diary for Statistical War Correspondents on the Latest Ban on Speech.”
  • June 17, 2019: “The 2019 ASA Guide to P-values and Statistical Significance: Don’t Say What You Don’t Mean” (Some Recommendations)(ii)
  • July 19, 2019: The NEJM Issues New Guidelines on Statistical Reporting: Is the ASA P-Value Project Backfiring? (i)
  • November 4, 2019: On some Self-defeating aspects of the ASA’s 2019 recommendations of statistical significance tests
  • November 14, 2019: The ASA’s P-value Project: Why it’s Doing More Harm than Good (cont from 11/4/19)
  • November 30, 2019: P-Value Statements and Their Unintended(?) Consequences: The June 2019 ASA President’s Corner (b) 
  • December 13, 2019: “Les stats, c’est moi”: We take that step here! (Adopt our fav word of Phil Stat!) iii

-ASA 2016 Guide’s Six Principles (PDF)

Slides & Video Links for Meeting 5:

Slides: Draft Slides for 18 June (not beautiful)

Video Meeting 5: (Viewing in full screen mode helps with buffering issues.)
       VIDEO LINK: https://wp.me/abBgTB-n8